Skip to main content

Waskita Karya Construction

In a news from bisnis.com, Waskita Karya Construction company (WSKT) will increase their Net income by 20% from last year achievement of IDR 368bio, making it a whopping IDR 443bio by the end of 2014. Sales have increased by 6% y-o-y on Q2, whilst COGS is slightly higher than last year, but WSKT still manage a 17% increase on gross profit.
I have forecast Q3 and Q4 whether WSKT is able to hit the target by the end of 2014 with net income of IDR 443bio, using last year quarterly growth of the company. Net income is not showing 443bio, in contrast it only shows merely 400bio, but again this is using last year growth as assumption, perhaps they have different approach and other business decision that can create a higher net income than what I have forecast.

WSKT have used 58% of its capital expenditure for the year 2014, you may read more here. That means WSKT will only have IDR 350bio for the next two quarters, from the total of IDR 850bio.

Is WSKT a buy? Fundamentally it has a steady growth y-o-y, other than the ambitious net income target at IDR 443bio, practically no surprises whatsoever comparing 2014 actual with 2013. The candle chart is showing a steady increase for the first half of 2014. RSI is not showing an overbought territory and with foreign net buy of 14,462,664 on Monday alone, the stocks can be the new hype in the market.

Comments

  1. What about Indonesian economy recently?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Lee, I'm still doing research on it. It will be post as soon as possible.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Hutang Indonesia yang ga Karuan itu...

Sepertinya saya harus menulis sekarang karena sudah terlalu lama tidak berbagi, dan lagi-lagi saya terlibat debat yang agak membuat saya sedikit kesal dengan kolega saya di kantor. Sebenarnya sepele, tetapi kolega saya ini tidak memaparkan fakta-fakta yang ada – yaa bisa lah disamain sama pak Trump yang kerjaannya cuma berkoar-koar tapi isinya nol dan tidak solutif. Perdebatan ini dimulai dengan diskusi santai mengenai keadaan ekonomi global dan juga domestik. Pada saat itu saya berkomentar bahwa setelah Federal Reserve Amerika Serikat (AS) menaikkan suku bunga acuan Fed Fund Rate , sepertinya dollar akan menguat dan pasar saham Indonesia akan sedikit melemah (tapi ternyata saya salah besar – yaaa…….nama juga memprediksi ya, kan bukan dukun juga ;P ). Kemudian saya juga berkomentar mengenai perusahaan pemeringkat kredit dari AS, Standard & Poor (S&P) yang kemungkinan akan menaikkan peringkat Indonesia Sovereign Bond menjadi investment grade – dari BBB- ke BBB. Saya berkat...

Sinarmas Bank Q2 Review

Despite lower net income compare the same period last year, Sinarmas have increased revenue by 41% yoy and increased its credit funds flow by 20% in the first half of 2014 where they aim to have 30% growth by the end of 2014. Operating expense increased by 45% yoy and COGS also increased by 48% which resulting a lower net income in 2Q 2014. In spite of all the increase in outflow and decreased in Net, Sinarmas claimed that the Loan to Value regulation does not impact their business operations in Credit automobile sector because most of the credit holder are those who buys cars instead of motorcycle, which have less risk. Sinarmas will also open 1,000 new branch office starting 2016 to support the growth of the company. With its massive growth in revenue, Sinarmas Bank seems to have a promising future. With relative small ROE of 3% in 2Q2014, it is still a cheap buy for those looking for a long term investment. Keep in mind that it is still a small cap company, and it is not as l...

A&Co July Result

After 3 months beating the market constantly, the Jakarta Stock Index (JKSE) finally beat our portfolio by 0.87%, not much, but it is still a disappointment. The grey line represents the abnormal return (Portfolio return - Index return) of the portfolio. Despite that, we made 74% from BSIM, and officially sold it on the 21st of July when the price suddenly jump 20% in just one day - which we thought a little bit weird and looks like it's going to be a rough ride going forward - hence we let it go. Despite the weird action, BSIM was one of our top stock, its monthly average was 19.92%, whereas its median is 0%, LITERALLY 0%, the high average is due to the sharp movement of 20% in one day. Our second top stock is ELSA, this stock also had a weird sharp movement on 13th of July, it jump to 58% in just one day, almost double in just one day. Unlike BSIM though, ELSA has a fairly high liquidity, thus we weren't very surprise on the big movement, and still have big hope with ELS...